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2024-12-14 09:03:33

In addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.Statement of works: The contents are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice.


The latest release of Shanghai Stock ExchangeIn addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.Don't wait, there will be no accidents next week.


The latest release of Shanghai Stock ExchangeThe central bank's statement shows that the exchange rate will not have room for further sharp depreciation, which can dispel the market's doubts. Judging from the recent exchange rate trend, it has kept a high level and fluctuated sideways. This week's closing did not fall below 7.26, so although it temporarily returned below 7.3, in fact, the depreciation trend in the medium term has not changed substantially. There is nothing to worry about in this position. In the future, we are optimistic about gradual appreciation, but the process will be slower.For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.

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